Saturday, October 18, 2025

Trumpism

Is Germany's past being revived in the US? Donald Trump wants to build an arch between Capitol Hill and the Lincoln Memorial.


While POTUS was bragging about the beauty of his new ballroom in construction at the White House, he showed off a model of his Trump Arch. Does it not bear a striking resemblance to a significantly larger Triumphal Arch?


Red Baron was shocked when he saw the following photo. As Stephen Colbert put it, "Adolf is meeting with the Young Republicans." The studio audience's laughter stuck in their throats.
 
Albert Speer's planned triumphal arch for the new imperial capital, Germania, was to be built over the former General Staff Barracks and the grounds of Matthäuskirche at the southern end of Berliner Allee,
near today's Gleisdreieck.
How far to the right is America shifting?
 
Note the transcription error: Juna instead of Giunta.


Is New York's Young Republican Peter Giunta just a "lone wolf"?


But what are we to make of this news item?


As Stephen explained, "The office in question belongs to Ohio Congressman and business hernia Dave Taylor."


The swastika is not immediately recognizable; it is woven into the Star Spangled Banner in the upper left corner of the photo.


Fox News had a peculiar explanation.


Stephen looked at a flash card with an American flag on it and said, "I see nothing unusual."


But then he held the card up to the camera.


On camera, Republican Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, made the following statement: "I say obviously that is not the principles of the Republican Party. We fought the Nazis. We defended the evil ideology."

On which Stephen commented:


**

Monday, October 13, 2025

On Medals and Prizes

There is a strange fascination with personal medals and decorations. 

The Golden Fleece hangs from the neck of Emperor Maximilian I.
Statue at the Historisches Kaufhaus in Freiburg
Three such decorations immediately come to mind: the Order of the Golden Fleece, founded by the Dukes of Burgundy and bestowed upon the potentates of Europe ...

Seen on Schloss Friedenstein on my recent trip to Gotha.
A small elephant hangs from the coat of arms of the Princes of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha.
... the Order of the Elephant, awarded by the Danish royal family and coveted by rulers ...
   
Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord, turning his mill with the wind, wears,
among other decorations, the Order of the Garter.
He is depicted as a man with six heads who served six political directions:
 Bishop of Autun, member of the National Assembly, and Secretary of State
 under the Directory, the First Consul, Emperor Napoleon, and King Louis XVIII.
... and finally, the Order of the Garter, an honor that recipients proudly wear on their legs.

Napoleon knew about the vanity of people and used personal awards in a targeted manner to motivate his grenadiers, for external distinctions and medals are more reliable than grand speeches. He understood the psychological power of decorations, viewing them as a means of manipulation rather than a valid moral reward. Subsequently, he instituted the Legion of Honor in 1802, decorating his generals and civilians alike. 

Nevertheless, Napoleon mocked when he stated, "C'est avec des hochets que l'on mène les hommes (It is with rattles that men are led)." On the other hand, he defended his Legion of Honor against republican critics, "Je défie qu'on me montre une République, ancienne ou moderne, qui sache mieux récompenser les services (I challenge anyone to show me a republic, ancient or modern, that knows how to reward service better)." He regarded decorations as a necessary political and social means for rulers. 

Napoleon's cynical pragmatism culminates in his remark, "On gouverne mieux les hommes par leurs vices que par leurs vertus (Men are better governed by their vices than by their virtues)." 

Even Goethe was not immune to the desire for awards. Napoleon recognized his importance and invited him to the Fürstenkongress in Erfurt. Our national poet felt flattered when the French emperor greeted him with, "Vous êtes un homme", and asked him, "Quel âge avez-vous?" Goethe bowed, "Soixante ans, Sire", to which the emperor replied, "Vos avez bien gardé."*
*You are a man. How old are you? 60. You have kept yourself well. 

Then the two men talked about literature and theater. Napoleon, who had begun a novel about suicide in his youth, claiming that he had read Die Leiden des jungen Werther seven times, criticized a passage from Goethe's successful epistolary novel as being out of touch with nature. Goethe smiled, agreed with the emperor, but defended his work.  


When Napoleon awarded Goethe, along with Wieland and other important dignitaries, the Knight's Cross of the Legion of Honor* on October 14, 1808, the Tsar did not want to be outdone and presented the poet with the Order of St. Anne the following day.
*The Légion d'Honneur is divided into five classes: Grand Cross, Grand Officer, Commander, Officer, and Knight. Goethe wore the lowest rank, the Croix du Chevalier de la Légion d'Honneur, the Knight's Cross of the Legion of Honor. 

Goethe didn't see the political calculation behind the Corsican's charm offensive, namely to appease Germany. Deeply moved, Goethe wrote to his publisher Cotta, "I readily admit that nothing in my life could have been more exalting and gratifying than to stand before the French emperor in such a manner. Without going into the details of the conversation, I can say that never before has a superior received me in such a manner, treating me with special trust, if I may use the expression, and making it clear that my character was to his liking. He then dismissed me with particular kindness and continued the conversation in the same vein the second time in Weimar, so that in these strange times, I at least have the personal reassurance that wherever I meet him again, I will find him to be my friendly and gracious lord. How valuable to me must be the sign he left behind, and how delightful the Russian addition to it: for who would not like to possess a monument to that important epoch, a sign of the union of two powers as great as they are distant, even if it were less flattering?"

Goethe proudly wears the Cross of the Legion of Honor
So far, so good, but Goethe's contemporaries noted with unease that the poet continued to wear the Legion of Honor cross visibly on his lapel even after the Wars of Liberation. Wilhelm von Humboldt wrote," Goethe never goes anywhere without the Legion Cross, and he always refers to the person who gave it to him as 'my emperor.'"

Many scholars argue that Goethe wore the cross in defiance because his efforts to receive a medal from Emperor Franz I had failed. 

 When the victorious allies entered Weimar on October 23, 1813, Goethe hosted the Austrian field marshal Joseph Count von Colloredo and his entourage. Goethe welcomed his guests wearing the Cross of the Legion of Honor on his chest. Colloredo exclaimed: "Good heavens, how can anyone wear such a thing!" Goethe did not want to upset his guest and instead quickly pinned the Russian Order of St. Anne, which he had also been awarded at the Fürstenkongress in Erfurt, to his tailcoat. 

After Colloredo's departure, Goethe exchanged the insignia again, because, according to Humboldt, one could not take off an order awarded by an emperor just because he had lost a battle. 

At the same time, however, he asked von Humboldt to obtain an Austrian order for him. Full of confidence, Goethe already drafted a letter of thanks and dated it 1813: The great undeserved honor, which has been unexpectedly bestowed upon me by His Imperial Majesty's highest grace, would have been of inestimable value at any time, but at the present moment its value is increased to infinity, as I see myself marking an epoch that will be unique in world history ... But it was not until 1815 that ... His Imperial Majesty, the Emperor in Vienna, deigned to bestow upon Goethe the Commander's Cross of the Austrian Imperial Order of Leopold by means of a letter from the cabinet issued at Speyer on June 28.


Let us turn to the Nobel Peace Prize, which the President of the United States so desperately wanted but ultimately did not receive.


"It's a scandal. Obama got the prize for nothing."



"I've ended six wars… all of these deals I made without even the mention of the word 'ceasefire'."


Will he be angry?


The Nobel Prize Committee had either miscounted the number of POTUS’ peace deals or taken issue with the term "ceasefire," which precedes a peace treaty.


Will he be comforted?
 
In fact, a ceasefire in the Middle East that everyone had been longing for has come into effect, ending the immeasurable suffering of the civilian population in the Gaza Strip.
 
POTUS wears the Ukrainian colors.
A premature announcement from the White House
If this ceasefire is followed by lasting peace, it would be only right and just to award President Trump the Nobel Peace Prize next year.
*

Saturday, October 11, 2025

The Never-Ending Kashmir Conflict

When, after World War II, the European states reluctantly granted independence to their African colonies, the people awoke within borders drawn by the colonial powers in the 19th century to demarcate their interests. These borders cut through entire ethnic groups and often forced Muslim and Christian populations into unnatural state structures. As expected, numerous border conflicts in Africa have not ended to this day or are flaring up again.

I still remember well the bloody Biafra conflict from 1967 to 1970, in which the predominantly Christian southeastern provinces of Nigeria declared independence as the Republic of Biafra. Although it was a struggle for power, oil, and mineral resources, the civil war was stylized into a religious one in which the Muslim north raided the predominantly Catholic south. Images of massacred women and starving children flickered across television screens in Western living rooms and triggered a wave of solidarity among all Christian churches around the world.

The Swiss arms manufacturer Oerlikon-Bührle supplied weapons to this war zone: anti-aircraft and ground-support guns that were technically outdated but still fully functional and lethal. These guns were initially ordered and paid for by Nazi Germany during the Second World War, but could not be delivered before the war ended.

The Nigerian federal army was desperate for arms to fight the secessionist Biafra, and Oerlikon-Bührle saw an opportunity to get rid of these old WWII-era stocks, selling the guns twice.

It was a scandal, and Switzerland was shaken. It took them years to come to terms with this affair.

But I digress. The topic of this blog is the Kashmir conflict between India and Pakistan, presented at the Museumsgesellschaft by Dr. Arndt Michael, an expert in Asian politics.


He gave a comprehensive historical introduction, but I will shorten it to focus on India's independence from British rule on August 14/15, 1947, and its aftermath. 

After World War II, two political groups — the Indian National Congress and the Muslim League — were deeply divided over whether India should remain united or be partitioned.


The British government sent Lord Louis Mountbatten, the last British Viceroy of India, to negotiate a quick and workable solution.
 
According to his plan, British India was divided into two dominions: Hindu India and Muslim Pakistan, with minorities of the other religion in each. This partition laid the ground for future conflicts, particularly as the two provinces of Punjab and Bengal, with mixed Hindu and Muslim populations, would be split between India and Pakistan.

So far so bad, but the situation was worsened because of the Kashmir province.

Maharaja Hari Singh in 1946 (©AP)
The princely state of Kashmir was ruled by Maharaja Hari Singh, a Hindu, over a majority Muslim population (about 75%). Under the Mountbatten Plan, he had to choose between joining India or Pakistan, based on geography and his people's wishes.

The Maharaja tried to remain independent, signing "Standstill Agreements" with both dominions to maintain trade and communication while he delayed his decision.

Some people hated to wait. So, in October 1947, tribal militias from Pakistan's North-West Frontier Province, backed by some elements in Pakistan, invaded Kashmir to force its accession to Pakistan.

 Without going into detail about this First Indo-Pakistani War, it lasted until January 1949 when the UN eventually established a ceasefire.


As a result, Kashmir was divided. India controlled about two-thirds of the territory, including Jammu, the Kashmir Valley, and Ladakh. Pakistan controlled the rest, known as Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) and Gilgit–Baltistan. The dividing line became known as the Line of Control (LoC).

Ongoing military tension and political instability led to two more open wars over Kashmir in 1965 and 1999. They were, however, short-lived, since, as Dr. Michael informed us, the Americans quickly reprimanded their ally, Pakistan. The US would not tolerate conflicts in the region because of its military activities in Afghanistan, where it needed Pakistan as an army base for Operation Enduring Freedom.

Terrorist attacks followed in subsequent years, culminating in the 2008 terrorist attack on the Taj Mahal Hotel in India by Islamists. The wars and attacks have claimed around 50,000 lives to date, including civilians, soldiers, and terrorists.

The latest open conflict to date between India and Pakistan took place from May 7 to May 10 of this year.


Pakistan, as a so-called failed state, is on China's drip. Still, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan boasts of fighting to the end in the Kashmir conflict and thinks it is time to teach India a lesson. The Chinese support the Muslim country because they have a great interest in securing access to the port of Gwadar in Pakistan as part of their Silk Road project.

India, on the other hand, now the most populous country on earth, is stretching its limbs. According to Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in office since 2014, India is a great role model for growth, progress, and peace, even though corruption, economic injustice, and injustice towards women and minorities are on the rise. India's economic boom is driven primarily by imports of cheap Russian oil. In return, India supplies Russia with military equipment. Modi is pursuing exclusively national interests. What Russia is doing in Eastern Europe does not affect India. The country is benefiting from the war in Ukraine.

Because energy and labor are cheap in India, more and more Western companies (Apple!) are moving manufacturing from China to India.

The four-day war in May 1925 started with an air battle in which 125 Indian and Pakistani fighter jets remaining within their national air spaces engaged in dogfights with long-range missiles. The Indians lost six of their most modern aircraft. It looks like modern Chinese technology was behind these shootdowns. In the following days, the fighting continued with drone attacks and artillery duels at the LoC.   

 Kashmir has no oil or mineral resources, and a high unemployment rate of 23%. This mainly affects younger people, who also have poor career prospects. The country has beautiful landscapes haunted by Indian honeymooners. 

 India is doing everything it can to get Kashmir under its control. The imprisonment of undesirable politicians and human rights violations are commonplace. Gerrymandering favors candidates of the pro-Indian party.
 
©Konkan Railway Corporation Limited/Wikipedia
In 2023, the imposing Chenab Bridge connecting Kashmir with the rest of the Indian railway network was opened. With 359 meters above the river, it is the highest railway bridge in the world.
 
The dispute over Kashmir is an unsolvable conflict between two nuclear powers that are supported by China and Russia, respectively. So the May skirmish looks like a proxy war. 
 **

Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Tomorrow‘s Forests?

I still recall an Umweltgespräch (environmental discussion) in Freiburg that addressed droughts and heavy rainfall. The predictions made by the speaker six years ago have essentially come true.


That's why I was fascinated when I read about two evening lectures in the series Umweltgespräche, focusing on the forests of tomorrow.

German forests have always fascinated me. In 2015, I blogged about the severe damage to forests in Germany's Mittelgebirge (medium high mountain regions), such as the Harz Mountains.

In 2020, I revisited the topic of Waldsterben. The beginning of the coronavirus pandemic was a challenging year for people, but particularly devastating for German forests.

Finally, in 2023, I learned that not only do forests surrounding a city mitigate the local climate, but individual trees within the city can also reduce heat spots.

That's why I was excited about the two lectures, whose content was contrasting and therefore made for a fascinating evening. 

Prof. Jürgen Bauhus, Chair of Silviculture at the University of Freiburg, played the skeptic and demonstrated in his lecture, "Wald im Wandel, Wandel in den Köpfen (Forest in Transition, Transition in Minds)," that the topic of forests is much more complex and multifaceted than I had previously assumed.

In contrast, Ms. Nicole Schmalfuß, head of the Freiburg Municipal Forestry Office, took a pragmatic and practical approach to the subject in her presentation "Stadt - Wald - Vielfalt (City - Forest - Diversity)."


Freiburg's Environmental Mayor, Christine Buchheit, welcomed those present and pointed out that tonight's lectures would be attended not only by Freiburg citizens, but also by participants in a specialist workshop entitled "Wald neu denken (Rethinking the Forest)" taking place in Freiburg this week.


The evening's moderator, Prof. Heiner Schanz (left), introduced Prof. Bauhus as the first speaker. The latter emphasized the balancing act he had to perform to satisfy both the citizens and the experts present with his lecture.

He then complained about the small projection screen, as the hall was overflowing with people. Many listeners had to stand in the back, where they could probably only see splashes of color. Red Baron had arrived early, managed to get a seat in the third row, and was just able to read the slides. Nevertheless, the quality of my shots of the screen you will see in the following leaves much to be desired.

Here are a few points that stood out to me and were new to me.

Prof. Bauhus presented the research approach of the Cluster of Excellence on Future Forests in Freiburg.


Feedback on risks and potential adaptation options for forests, as well as their impacts on future forest decision-making, is incorporated into forest research. These two inputs can be used to develop transformation pathways for future socio-ecological forest systems.


The drivers of change include extreme events, disturbances, interactions, targeted environmental changes, system shifts, tipping points, and societal changes. Their predictability is limited. Here are examples:


According to the German Climate Protection Act, greenhouse gas emissions (essentially carbon dioxide and methane) in the land-use ecosystem are to be reduced by 25 million tons by 2030. However, after three consecutive dry summers between 2018 and 2020, so many trees died in the low mountain ranges that the balance was ruined, and only a saving of around 1 million tons of greenhouse gases is expected by 2030.


The planting of late-flowering black cherry trees (Prunus serotina) in the Netherlands was a complete misjudgement. The species forms dense stands and suppresses the regeneration of native trees (e.g., oak or beech). Prunus serotina's leaf litter changes the soil chemistry and hinders the growth of other plants. Between 1965 and 2018, this American import spread so rapidly that to date €500 million has been spent on combating it. 


Therefore, plans and decisions on climate protection can only be made against a backdrop of great uncertainty. In the above graphic, the lower blue ecological system state will be reached when no action is taken. Although planned remedy activities point in the right direction, they are not very targeted.


Changes in forests also require changes in society, or environmental changes generally go hand in hand with social changes.

On the one hand, forests have the capacity to provide a range of ecosystem services. On the other hand, society relies on the services this ecosystem provides. The resilience of these socio-economic factors is crucial, so risks must be mitigated through adaptation and overcome through transformations.


Results of studies show that locally adapted tree species are not always the best choice for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, changing tree species alone does not preserve the carbon sink properties of forests either. The best approach is flexible regeneration of adapted tree species, coupled with controlled changes in their composition. A suitable selection will maintain the CO2 balance and can even improve it.


The future utilization potential of trees can be derived from forest utilization between 2012 and 2022. This results in an 18% decrease for spruce, a 43% increase for pine, a 160% increase for oak, and a 178% increase for beech in the years up to 2037.


The second speaker of the evening was the lively Ms. Schmalfuß.


She showed that forests cover 42% of the 6,509 hectares of the city of Freiburg. The small image illustrates the drought index in Germany for the year 2024. It shows that the moisture situation in the far southwest of Germany is quite different from that in the east (indicated by the brown areas).


Here are the predictions of future droughts made in 2019.


Freiburg boasts a diverse range of forests, from mossy to mountainous, and everything in between.


Ms. Schmalfuß presented the Freiburg Forest Convention of 2020. The city forest is preserved and managed in a way that ensures and promotes all four forest functions - protection, utilization, recreation, and climate mitigation - equally.


The objectives are:

1. Permanent preservation of the city forest
2. Preservation and promotion of biodiversity and other protective functions
3. Stability through diversity
4. Sustainable timber production
5. Increased use of timber in construction (buried  CO2)
6. Preservation and promotion of the climate protection performance of the city forest
7. Preservation and further development of the recreational function of the city forest
8. Forest and environmental education in the city forest
9. The city forest as a workplace: occupational safety and training quality
10. The Freiburg city forest as an object of research, teaching, and study


The city forest (light green) is primarily a multifunctional commercial forest. Blue areas are forests with a prominent recreational function. Purple areas are extensive and maintenance areas, while dark red areas denote decommissioned forest areas.


The equal importance of the various functions does not mean that the same goals should be pursued everywhere since the diversity of forests requires differentiation.

Forests with a long history of forestry have great potential for biotope protection. Forests with high growth rates have great potential for climate protection. Forests with high-quality wood have significant potential for commercial use, while those located near cities have substantial potential for recreational purposes.


The concepts and instruments for implementing the Freiburg Forest Convention are:

1. Systematic management control, i.e., forest management with interim reviews and annual planning
2. FSC (Forest Stewardship Council) certification
3. Near-natural forestry and the forest development type guideline
4. Long-term adaptation to climate change
5. Old and dead wood concept
6. Biodiversity action plan
7. Integration of management planning in Natura 2000 areas*
8. Regulated hunting
9. Information and guidance for forest visitors through attractive infrastructure offerings and a forest recreation map
10. Forest education in the city forest as a contribution to education for sustainable development and inclusion - offerings by the Forestry Office and Waldhaus Freiburg
*European animal and plant species protected areas


The slide on the planned management of forest facility renewal within the 10-year plan of the updated Freiburg Forest Convention was simply not legible.

Tomorrow's forests? Ms. Schmalfuß ended her lecture with an optimistic outlook:


Still forests tomorrow!
**