This blog is Red Baron's introduction to the topic at the
February Stammtisch of the Freiburg-Madison-Gesellschaft.
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The official Inauguration photo
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Not an hour goes by without a new message from Washington startling the media.
President Trump said at a news conference with Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, "The US will take over the Gaza Strip, we will do a job with it
too, we will own it. We're gonna take over that piece, so we're gonna develop
it. We have an opportunity to do something that could be phenomenal, I don't want be cute, I don't want to be the wise guy, but the
Riviera of the Middle East. This could be something that could be so
magnificent. The Riviera of the Middle East."
When asked how many Palestinians would have to be displaced for his luxury
real estate development, Trump said, "All of them, we are talking probably
about 1 million 7 people, maybe 1 million 8, but I think all of them."
For the operation, Trump did not rule out the use of ground troops. Gaza
is only rubble and ashes. The 1.8 million Palestinians could lead a "nice life
elsewhere and not have to worry about dying there every day." Their resettlement
to other countries in the region is intended to make room for the "people of the
world."
Later in a press conference,
Karoline Leavitt, the White
House press secretary, paddled back, saying, "The President has not committed to
putting boots on the ground in Gaza" and clearing the territory. The Palestinian
population would not be driven out, and any relocation would be temporary.
Even
before taking office, Trump was "flooding the zone" with bold and sometimes
legally dubious actions that challenged the media to keep up. The oldest president in US history
wants to demonstrate determination and the ability to act.
Minutes after
his inauguration, he began signing almost one hundred executive orders - in the
Weimar Republic, these were called
Notverordnungen (emergency
decrees).
Why this haste?
Let's not forget that Trump has
two key opponents. In addition to the "Trifecta," he is running out of time.
Trifecta states are those in which Democrats hold the governorship and
have majorities in the Senate and the House of Representatives. The most
potent example is California, with a population of almost 40 million.
Under
the new president, the Republican Party holds the majority in both houses of
Congress. In the House of Representatives, Republicans hold 235 seats, while Democrats hold 200. In the Senate, Republicans have a 53-47 majority, allowing Trump to govern unrestrained for the next two
years.
However, in the 2026 midterm elections, the
majority in one or both houses could flip, making governing more difficult.
Journalists
have identified an even greater Trump opponent: reality.
The new
president is barely in touch with reality. One of the main reasons he was elected was his promise to bring down
inflation. At the same
time, he loves tariffs, which are import duties supposed to secure American
jobs and strengthen the domestic market.
In 2015, President Obama
officially renamed the nation's highest mountain, the 6,190-metre-high
McKinley*, to Denali, as the indigenous people of Alaska have called it for
thousands of years.
*Gold miners had christened it in 1896 after the US president
Trump rescinded the renaming with an executive order. It was another Trump attack on former President
Barack Obama's legacy.
The president justified his decision by saying that
William McKinley had made the country
very rich through tariffs and his talent.
Every economics student knows before the first semester that tariffs make
imported goods more expensive. A 25% tariff on goods imported from Mexico
affects 43% of US agricultural products, and 90% of avocados consumed in the
States are grown south of the border.
Back in 1932,
Franklin Delano Roosevelt criticized the tariffs
introduced by President
Herbert Hoover under pressure from Republican
hardliners, "They are 'the inevitable result of bringing about retaliations by
the other nations of the world' and are leading the USA 'on the road to
ruin.'"
Trump wants to spend the next four years destroying FDR's
legacy, too.
The US has a voluntary partnership program that relies primarily on the extended defense umbrella. The world powers, Russia and China, can only dream of this. Russia is blackmailing Belarus militarily and
economically, and China has taken over Cambodia and Laos under economic
duress. The USA doesn't need that. Harvard historian
Charles S. Maier once
wrote of an "empire by invitation."
However, Trump's understanding
of international politics predates 1945. For all their differences, only big
men and strong states that can impose all sorts of things on smaller and
weaker states within their zones of influence count for him.
However, the USA's partners are stronger and more self-confident than
Cambodia. So, Trump's verbal attacks on Canada, Panama, and Denmark could
jeopardize the good relationship with America's allies.
As a Danish MEP said in the EU Parliament concerning Greenland, to applause, "Let
me put it in words that you might understand, Mister Trump. Fuck
off."
Trump is pursuing an agenda of "maximum disruption," with which he is
attempting to broadly undermine the basic US democratic principle of checks
and balances.
The legislature is in his hands; the Supreme Court,
which recently granted the president almost all-encompassing immunity from
prosecution, is conservative.
Big tech has been given "co-governing
power." Trump's advisor,
Elon Musk, now has insight into US finances.
What worries me most is the
gesunde Menschenverstand by which the Nazis governed the 3rd Reich. Trump
says he is gifted with it.
Here is a recent example: When asked why he believed that DEI (diversity, equity,
and inclusion) was responsible for the collision of two airplanes over
Washington, Trump answered, "I have common sense, and unfortunately, a lot of
people don't."
Trump's presidency is a reminder that democracy cannot be taken for
granted.
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Apparently, only Melania knows how to stop Him.
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Democracy is an accomplishment. It is fragile and sometimes uncomfortable, but it is the best thing we have.
Subsequently, the following discussion at the Stammtisch turned around one point: How can we
protect our precious democracy?
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