|Drosten study on infectious children grossly wrong (©Bild)|
|Virologist Christian Drosten was wrong with his study (©Bild)|
Drosten published Piatov‘s impertinent email, commenting, "I have better things to do."
Applause came not only from Drosten's peers who distanced themselves from quotations of their words that, according to them, were taken out of context.
In a tweet, Professor Lauterbach supported Drosten, too, but could not hold back a small side blow, "There is also jealousy among colleagues."
The aim of the Bild reporter clearly was to destroy Drosten's reputation as a scientist and thus to diminish his influence on Germany's Corona policy.
Layman Filipp Piatov has no clue about scientific work. Unlike politicians, serious scientists will continuously question their level of knowledge, evaluate further findings, and draw new conclusions. What was right yesterday can be wrong today, and vice versa. This is how scientific progress is made.
All published results are subject to scrutiny by peer scientists. In case of doubt, results are checked by performing similar experiments.
In the meantime, the Twitter-fight between Drosten and Bild escalated in a new headline misleading the reader: "Schulen und Kitas wegen falscher Corona-Studie dicht" (Schools and Daycare Centers Closed Due to False Corona Study).
Sascha Lobo had the decisive argument. While schools and daycare centers were already closed on March 16, the preprint of Drosten's study was only published on April 29.
Dixit Lauterbach, ”If Drosten continues to be open, clear, and transparent with his scientific results without twisting them, he will survive. Because he is an honest person and a top-class scientist.”
Right or wrong. Too little is known about the Sars-CoV-2 virus. Presently only experience will show whether sending kids back to school will soon lead to new outbreaks of Covid-19. Better safe than sorry.
The Weatherman/woman Phenomenon
In comparing weather forecasts with the "actual" weather, Red Baron generally notes that the latter is nearly always better than the forecast so that weathermen/women are rarely criticized. In olden days bearers of bad tiding were often executed. Have weather-people kept this archaic instinct?
|In the same boat with the political heavyweights:
Christian Drosten is approached in demos (©dpa/Christoph Schmidt)
Recently Professor Lauterbach criticized the rapid loosening of the rules in restaurants and pubs. Aerosols are created in closed rooms by breathing out and coughing. So sufficient air circulation must be provided.
|Drink, and you will be immune.|
Some Professors Tell Nonsense to the World
Drosten complains about the many contributions of experts in social media such as videos that have millions of hits and are full of nonsense. "Some of the authors are doctors and professors who are putting some nonsense into the world, who have never worked on these topics... but they regard themselves to be experts because of their academic grade."
He doesn't understand why researchers from other scientific fields do not stick to their areas of expertise, "I would never dare to reveal anything about bacteria with so much conviction." Although it is generally believed that viruses and bacteria are "almost the same thing," scientists know that this is not the case.
"These self-proclaimed experts spread generalities that do not go beyond the information level of college textbooks. This is how you bolster the really dangerous conspiracy theorists. I get their echo back in the form of accusations."
A New Song, a Better Song!
We Germans are a nation of thinkers and skeptics. Many Corona debates take a Romantic touch. Instead of basing our thinking on rational, scientific grounds, we place personal feelings and individual freedom in the foreground.
When Governor Bodo Ramelow proposed replacing the strict Corona rules in his state of Thuringia by a system of voluntary behavior, one columnist wrote, "Ramelow sounds like a verse from Heinrich Heine's Romantic epic poem 'Germany, a Winter's Tale'."
|A new song, a better song!
It sounds like flutes and violins!
The misery is over,
The death bells are silent.
|Ein neues Lied, ein besseres Lied!
Es klingt wie Flöten und Geigen!
Das Miserere ist vorbei,
Die Sterbeglocken schweigen.
Evolutionary biologist Jamie Lloyd-Smith of the University of California told the journal Science, "There are strong hints that the majority of those infected with Sars-CoV-2 do not infect anyone. Rather, a few probably infect a great many people."
To quantify this, we need a new parameter, the so-called dispersion factor k. The smaller k is, the more infections can be attributed to one person or a few people - the so-called superspreaders.
The factor k describes the frequency with which infections occur. The lower the number, the fewer people spread the pathogen. This means that the smaller the dispersion factor, the easier it is to control an epidemic. A dispersion factor of 0.1 means that nine out of ten patients only infect one person at a time, but every tenth person infects ten others. Therefore, the probability of an infected person triggering a superspreading event, in which many people are quickly infected, is one in ten. With such a low factor, an epidemic could even come to a standstill. Drosten claims, "Superspreaders played a decisive role in the 2002/2003 Sars pandemic because the dispersion factor k was about 0.1. Such a low value opens up opportunities for new strategies in fighting an epidemic."
Drosten continued, "With Sars-CoV-2, the initial opinion was that superspreaders played no or only a minor role since the upper airways are also affected, and patients are already contagious before the first symptoms appear. Recently, however, new preliminary studies strongly suggest that the dispersion factor might also be small to very small in the present pandemic."
|Catholic or Protestant?|
Drosten on Outdoor Areas
Outdoor areas of restaurants are relatively safe, and "a two-meter distance will probably not be necessary. What is spread via aerosols is blown away. The danger of infection is, therefore, largely eliminated. For indoor spaces, it is essential to open the windows."
For the creation of outdoor areas, Drosten suggests a bit less bureaucracy in these unusual times, "Why don't we allow proprietors to use the sidewalks? In these times, local authorities can make exceptions and say that the pubs will put their tables on the sidewalk - as long as they don't endanger passers-by."
Turning Parking Spaces into Parklets
|Parklet test: On Friday evening Lord Mayor Martin Horn and mayors
and Martin Haag in front of O’Kelly‘s on Sedanstraße (©Joachim Röderer/BZ)
Mass temperature checks on people are frequently used to filter out infected persons.
|Fever screening at Milan Airport (©BZ)|
These tests are superficial and misleading, for many bearers of Covid-19 don't show increased body temperatures.
|Cleaning the streets of Moscow (©ap)|
|Volunteers disinfecting a church in March in Mendota, Calif.
(©Max Whittaker for The New York Times)
By Now It Is Fake News For The US
The WHO has a shattering corona prognosis, "The virus may never be defeated and will stay with us."